The administration’s whipsawing moves are leaving investors guessing. The risk is that this uncertainty comes at a real cost to the economy.

Key Takeaways The S&P 500 is off to its worst start for a presidential term since 2009, when Barack Obama entered the White House in the midst of the global financial crisis.Traditionally defensive sectors have outperformed since Trump's inauguration amid growing concern that tariffs could usher in a period of stagflation.

Over the last year, while President Joe Biden was in office, Trump took credit for stock market rallies as a vote of confidence in his electoral prospects. When the market dipped, he blamed Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris. And he predicted that if Democrats won the 2024 presidential election, the stock market would have crashed.