In a recent study posted to the medRxiv* preprint server, researchers used a stochastic compartmental model of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission to examine ...

Compartment models have been proposed in the 1920s as a model for the spread of an infectious disease in a society, in a famous article by Kermack and ...

Humans have faced severe infectious diseases throughout history, some of which have been classified as worldwide pandemics 1, including the Spanish flu in 1917 and Hong Kong flu (H3N2) in 1968. The ...

Predicting the spread trends of a pandemic is crucial, but long-term prediction remains challenging due to complex relationships among disease spread stages and preventive policies. To address this ...